Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 0.001766 0.001842 0.001922 0.002011 0.002109 0.002212 0.002331
2025-06-15 0.001654 0.001764 0.001885 0.002026 0.002188 0.002372 0.002597
2025-06-22 0.001551 0.001682 0.001828 0.002005 0.002219 0.002472 0.002802
2025-06-29 0.001465 0.001607 0.001770 0.001975 0.002229 0.002542 0.002973
2025-07-06 0.001404 0.001556 0.001733 0.001961 0.002254 0.002629 0.003170
2025-07-13 0.001323 0.001475 0.001656 0.001891 0.002198 0.002602 0.003206
2025-07-20 0.001283 0.001441 0.001631 0.001883 0.002222 0.002681 0.003398
2025-07-27 0.001257 0.001422 0.001623 0.001896 0.002271 0.002798 0.003662
2025-08-03 0.001222 0.001390 0.001597 0.001882 0.002282 0.002859 0.003846
2025-08-10 0.001203 0.001376 0.001594 0.001897 0.002333 0.002983 0.004157
2025-08-17 0.001175 0.001351 0.001573 0.001887 0.002346 0.003049 0.004374
2025-08-24 0.001145 0.001321 0.001545 0.001866 0.002341 0.003084 0.004539
2025-08-31 0.001135 0.001317 0.001552 0.001895 0.002415 0.003261 0.005034
2025-09-07 0.001119 0.001306 0.001549 0.001908 0.002467 0.003406 0.005507
2025-09-14 0.001094 0.001280 0.001525 0.001890 0.002466 0.003458 0.005783
2025-09-21 0.001067 0.001252 0.001496 0.001863 0.002449 0.003476 0.005980
2025-09-28 0.001047 0.001232 0.001478 0.001851 0.002455 0.003540 0.006320
2025-10-05 0.001010 0.001189 0.001427 0.001788 0.002372 0.003421 0.006116
2025-10-12 0.000994 0.001174 0.001414 0.001781 0.002384 0.003493 0.006492
2025-10-19 0.000985 0.001167 0.001413 0.001792 0.002427 0.003632 0.007137
2025-10-26 0.000969 0.001151 0.001397 0.001780 0.002428 0.003683 0.007519
2025-11-02 0.000961 0.001146 0.001397 0.001794 0.002476 0.003841 0.008386
2025-11-09 0.000947 0.001131 0.001384 0.001784 0.002482 0.003905 0.008932